Detroit Tigers @ Texas Rangers
MEDIUM confidence · Model lean: Detroit Tigers -1.5 (who the model rates higher — see the Kelly card for the actual bet)
Composite score breakdown
How the 55/100 edge score is built.
Books disagree by 0.0 pts on the spread.
Best price beats consensus by 0.9% implied.
Market favors Detroit Tigers by 1.5.
Neutral conditions.
Line moved 3.0 pt toward Detroit Tigers since open (confirms the pick).
Kelly bet sizing
Half KellyNo bet. No positive-EV side at these prices
Weather at venue
AI Game Analysis
Powered by Claude (Opus 4.8)
Generate a natural-language read on where the value is, a suggested unit size, and the risks worth watching.
Sharp source screenshot
The Action Network screenshot this game's sharp data was read from. Auto-deleted once the game is verified over.
Line movement
Captured automatically every few hours. The last row before game time is the closing line — used to grade the model.
| Captured | Spread | Total | Home ML | Score | Recommended |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 10:00 PM(open) | -1.5 | 8.1 | -109 | 49 | No bet |
| Jul 4, 11:01 PM | +1.5 | 8.1 | -54 | 41 | No bet |
| Jul 5, 12:01 AM | +1.5 | 8.1 | -37 | 41 | No bet |
| Jul 5, 1:00 AM | +1.5 | 8 | -43 | 41 | No bet |
| Jul 5, 2:00 AM | +1.5 | 8 | -48 | 41 | No bet |
| Jul 5, 3:00 AM | +1.5 | 8 | -48 | 41 | No bet |
| Jul 5, 4:00 AM | +1.5 | 8 | -48 | 41 | No bet |
| Jul 5, 5:00 AM | +1.5 | 8 | -48 | 41 | No bet |
| Jul 5, 6:00 AM | +1.5 | 8 | -28 | 41 | No bet |
| Jul 5, 7:00 AM | +1.5 | 8 | -28 | 41 | No bet |
| Jul 5, 8:00 AM | +1.5 | 7.7 | +9 | 66 | $5 Detroit Tigers |
| Jul 5, 9:00 AM | +1.5 | 7.7 | -9 | 41 | No bet |
| Jul 5, 10:00 AM | +1.5 | 7.7 | +9 | 66 | $5 Detroit Tigers |
| Jul 5, 11:00 AM | +1.5 | 7.7 | +47 | 66 | $5 Detroit Tigers |
| Jul 5, 12:00 PM | +1.5 | 7.7 | +28 | 66 | $5 Detroit Tigers |
| Jul 5, 1:00 PM | +1.5 | 7.6 | +46 | 66 | $5 Detroit Tigers |
| Jul 5, 2:00 PM | +1.5 | 7.6 | +102 | 55 | No bet |
| Jul 5, 3:00 PM | +1.5 | 7.6 | +103 | 55 | No bet |
| Jul 5, 4:00 PM | +1.5 | 7.6 | +103 | 55 | No bet |
| Jul 5, 6:01 PM(latest) | +1.5 | 7.5 | +107 | 55 | No bet |
Line shopping
Every book on the board — grab the best number.
| Book | Detroit Tigers ML | Texas Rangers ML | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | -125 | +107 | +1.5 (-162) | 7.5 |
| FanDuel | -126 | +108 | +1.5 (-154) | 7.5 |
| BetOnline.ag | -122 | +111 | +1.5 (-157) | 7.5 |
| LowVig.ag | -122 | +111 | +1.5 (-156) | 7.5 |
| Fanatics | -125 | +105 | +1.5 (-165) | 7.5 |
| MyBookie.ag | -124 | +106 | +1.5 (-170) | 7.5 |
| DraftKings | -125 | +104 | +1.5 (-163) | 7.5 |
| Caesars | -125 | +105 | +1.5 (-160) | 7.5 |
| BetMGM | -130 | +105 | +1.5 (-160) | 7.5 |
| BetUS | -122 | +111 | +1.5 (-160) | 7.5 |
| Bovada | -131 | +109 | +1.5 (-160) | 7.5 |
| BetRivers | -125 | +102 | +1.5 (-180) | 7.5 |