New York Mets @ Atlanta Braves
MEDIUM confidence · Model lean: New York Mets -1.5 (who the model rates higher — see the Kelly card for the actual bet)
✓ You've bet this: New York Mets ML @ FanDuel · tracked
Composite score breakdown
How the 63/100 edge score is built.
Books disagree by 1.0 pts on the spread.
Best price beats consensus by 6.0% implied.
Market favors New York Mets by 1.5.
Neutral conditions.
Line moved 3.0 pt toward New York Mets since open (confirms the pick).
Live score
Live bet calculator
The win% is already filled in from ESPN's live model (it factors the score + time left), so you don't have to guess — just enter the live price your book shows and it does the rest.
ESPN live model: New York Mets 63% · Atlanta Braves 37% — a reference, not a betting line.
Heads up: live betting usually carries a bigger book margin (worse prices) and swings fast. Only bet when your read is genuinely ahead of the price — and remember your win% is a guess, so keep live bets small.
Weather at venue
AI Game Analysis
Powered by Claude (Opus 4.8)
Generate a natural-language read on where the value is, a suggested unit size, and the risks worth watching.
Sharp source screenshot
The Action Network screenshot this game's sharp data was read from. Auto-deleted once the game is verified over.
Line movement
Captured automatically every few hours. The last row before game time is the closing line — used to grade the model.
| Captured | Spread | Total | Home ML | Score | Recommended |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 10:00 PM(open) | -1.5 | 9.1 | -121 | 49 | No bet |
| Jul 4, 11:01 PM | -1.5 | 9.1 | -121 | 49 | No bet |
| Jul 5, 12:01 AM | -1.5 | 9.1 | -121 | 49 | No bet |
| Jul 5, 1:00 AM | -1.5 | 9.1 | -121 | 49 | No bet |
| Jul 5, 2:00 AM | -1.5 | 9.1 | -121 | 49 | No bet |
| Jul 5, 3:00 AM | -1.5 | 9.1 | -120 | 49 | No bet |
| Jul 5, 4:00 AM | -1.5 | 9.1 | -121 | 48 | No bet |
| Jul 5, 5:00 AM | -1.5 | 9.1 | -121 | 48 | No bet |
| Jul 5, 6:00 AM | -1.5 | 9 | -121 | 49 | No bet |
| Jul 5, 7:00 AM | -1.5 | 9 | -119 | 49 | No bet |
| Jul 5, 8:00 AM | -1.5 | 9 | -117 | 49 | No bet |
| Jul 5, 9:00 AM | -1.5 | 9 | -116 | 50 | No bet |
| Jul 5, 10:00 AM | -1.5 | 9 | -116 | 49 | No bet |
| Jul 5, 11:00 AM | -1.5 | 9 | -117 | 49 | No bet |
| Jul 5, 12:00 PM | -1.5 | 9 | -117 | 49 | No bet |
| Jul 5, 1:00 PM | -1.5 | 9 | -117 | 49 | No bet |
| Jul 5, 2:00 PM | -1.5 | 9 | -117 | 49 | No bet |
| Jul 5, 3:00 PM | -1.5 | 9 | -117 | 49 | No bet |
| Jul 5, 4:00 PM | +1.5 | 9 | -105 | 55 | $10 New York Mets 🔨 New York Mets +16% |
| Jul 5, 6:01 PM(latest) | +1.5 | 8.4 | -101 | 55 | No bet |
Line shopping
Every book on the board — grab the best number.
| Book | New York Mets ML | Atlanta Braves ML | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | -247 | +186 | +1.5 (-20) | 14.6 |
| DraftKings | -215 | +162 | +1.5 (-107) | 14.5 |
| Caesars | -230 | +180 | +1.5 (+100) | 14.5 |
| Fanatics | -245 | +180 | +1.5 (+100) | 14.5 |
| FanDuel | -250 | +190 | +1.5 (-104) | 14.5 |
| MyBookie.ag | -333 | +245 | +2.5 (-111) | 15.5 |
| BetMGM | -220 | +175 | — (—) | 14.5 |
| BetRivers | -265 | +188 | +2 (-130) | 14.5 |
| Bovada | -240 | +180 | +1.5 (+110) | 14.5 |