3WGRThree Wager
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49
MLBSun, Jul 5, 4:00 PM ET

San Francisco Giants @ Colorado Rockies

LOW confidence · Model lean: San Francisco Giants -1.5 (who the model rates higher — see the Kelly card for the actual bet)

✓ You've bet this: Colorado Rockies ML @ DraftKings · tracked

🔨 Sharp ML: Colorado Rockies +30%

Composite score breakdown

How the 49/100 edge score is built.

Market disagreement40/100 · w 25%

Books disagree by 0.0 pts on the spread.

Price value55/100 · w 30%

Best price beats consensus by 1.2% implied.

Line conviction51/100 · w 20%

Market favors San Francisco Giants by 1.5.

Weather impact50/100 · w 25%

Neutral conditions.

Line movement50/100 · w 20%

Line is stable since open — no steam.

Kelly bet sizing

Half Kelly
Recommended bet
$5.00
on Colorado Rockies (+102)

🔨 Sharp play. This bet follows the sharp money, not the model's own read — so the composite score may be low. You're betting where the pros' money is.

Win probability
59.0%
Decimal odds
2.020
Edge
19.2%
Full Kelly
9.5%
Half Kelly
1.4%
Cap (5% max)
applied

Weather at venue

Forecast
Patchy Smoke
Temp
86°F
Wind
6 mph E
Precip
3%

AI Game Analysis

Powered by Claude (Opus 4.8)

Generate a natural-language read on where the value is, a suggested unit size, and the risks worth watching.

Sharp source screenshot

The Action Network screenshot this game's sharp data was read from. Auto-deleted once the game is verified over.

Sharp source screenshot

Line movement

Captured automatically every few hours. The last row before game time is the closing line — used to grade the model.

Open spread
+1.5
Current spread
+1.5
Move
stable
CapturedSpreadTotalHome MLScoreRecommended
Jul 4, 10:00 PM(open)+1.513+11048No bet
Jul 4, 11:01 PM+1.513+11048No bet
Jul 5, 12:01 AM+1.513+11048No bet
Jul 5, 1:00 AM+1.513+11048No bet
Jul 5, 2:00 AM+1.512.9+10848No bet
Jul 5, 3:00 AM+1.513+10749No bet
Jul 5, 4:00 AM+1.513+10749No bet
Jul 5, 5:00 AM+1.513+10749No bet
Jul 5, 6:00 AM+1.513+10649No bet
Jul 5, 7:00 AM+1.513+10649No bet
Jul 5, 8:00 AM+1.512.9+10549No bet
Jul 5, 9:00 AM+1.513+10750No bet
Jul 5, 10:00 AM+1.513+10750No bet
Jul 5, 11:00 AM+1.513+10449No bet
Jul 5, 12:00 PM+1.513+10449No bet
Jul 5, 1:00 PM+1.513+10349No bet
Jul 5, 2:00 PM+1.513+8454No bet
Jul 5, 3:00 PM+1.513+8454No bet
Jul 5, 4:00 PM+1.513+8354No bet
Jul 5, 6:01 PM(latest)+1.512.7+10150$5 Colorado Rockies
🔨 Colorado Rockies +30%

Line shopping

Every book on the board — grab the best number.

BookSan Francisco Giants MLColorado Rockies MLSpreadTotal
Consensus-119+102+1.5 (-142)13
DraftKings-129+107+1.5 (-138)13
Fanatics-120+100+1.5 (-145)13
MyBookie.ag-126+107+1.5 (-139)13
FanDuel-118+100+1.5 (-150)13
BetOnline.ag-112+102+1.5 (-140)13.5
LowVig.ag-112+102+1.5 (-138)13.5
Caesars-120+100+1.5 (-140)13
BetMGM-120+100+1.5 (-145)13
Bovada-119-101+1.5 (-145)13
BetRivers-127+102+1.5 (-143)12.5
BetUS-113+103+1.5 (-140)13