Detroit Tigers @ Texas Rangers
LOW confidence · Model lean: Detroit Tigers -1.5 (who the model rates higher — see the Kelly card for the actual bet)
✓ You've bet this: Texas Rangers ML @ FanDuel · tracked
Composite score breakdown
How the 54/100 edge score is built.
Books disagree by 0.0 pts on the spread.
Best price beats consensus by 5.6% implied.
Market favors Detroit Tigers by 1.5.
Neutral conditions.
Line is stable since open — no steam.
Kelly bet sizing
Quarter Kelly🔨 Sharp play. This bet follows the sharp money, not the model's own read — so the composite score may be low. You're betting where the pros' money is.
Weather at venue
AI Game Analysis
Powered by Claude (Opus 4.8)
Generate a natural-language read on where the value is, a suggested unit size, and the risks worth watching.
Line movement
Captured automatically every few hours. The last row before game time is the closing line — used to grade the model.
| Captured | Spread | Total | Home ML | Score | Recommended |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 12:03 PM(open) | +1.5 | 7.9 | -34 | 33 | — |
| Jul 4, 12:33 PM | +1.5 | 7.9 | -34 | 36 | — |
| Jul 4, 12:46 PM | +1.5 | 7.9 | +9 | 61 | — |
| Jul 4, 1:00 PM | +1.5 | 7.9 | +9 | 61 | — |
| Jul 4, 1:21 PM | +1.5 | 7.9 | -10 | 36 | — |
| Jul 4, 2:01 PM | +1.5 | 7.9 | +28 | 61 | — |
| Jul 4, 3:00 PM | +1.5 | 7.8 | -10 | 36 | — |
| Jul 4, 3:01 PM | +1.5 | 7.9 | -10 | 36 | — |
| Jul 4, 4:01 PM | +1.5 | 7.9 | -10 | 36 | — |
| Jul 4, 5:00 PM(latest) | +1.5 | 8 | +87 | 54 | — |
Line shopping
Every book on the board — grab the best number.
| Book | Detroit Tigers ML | Texas Rangers ML | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | -122 | +87 | +1.5 (-160) | 8.1 |
| FanDuel | -120 | +102 | +1.5 (-156) | 8 |
| Fanatics | -125 | +105 | +1.5 (-165) | 8.5 |
| BetOnline.ag | -120 | +109 | +1.5 (-155) | 8 |
| LowVig.ag | -120 | +109 | +1.5 (-154) | 8 |
| Caesars | -125 | +105 | +1.5 (-160) | 8 |
| DraftKings | -118 | -102 | +1.5 (-165) | 8 |
| MyBookie.ag | -119 | +101 | +1.5 (-158) | 8 |
| BetUS | -120 | +109 | +1.5 (-160) | 8 |
| BetMGM | -125 | +105 | +1.5 (-160) | 8 |
| BetRivers | -130 | +105 | +1.5 (-167) | 8 |
| Bovada | -125 | +105 | +1.5 (-160) | 8.5 |