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53
WNBASun, Jul 5, 3:00 PM ET
Dallas Wings @ Toronto Tempo
LOW confidence · Model lean: Dallas Wings -5.5 (who the model rates higher — see the Kelly card for the actual bet)
Composite score breakdown
How the 53/100 edge score is built.
Market disagreement40/100 · w 25%
Books disagree by 0.0 pts on the spread.
Price value57/100 · w 30%
Best price beats consensus by 1.8% implied.
Line conviction67/100 · w 20%
Market favors Dallas Wings by 5.5.
Line movement50/100 · w 20%
Line is stable since open — no steam.
Kelly bet sizing
Quarter KellyNo bet. Score below threshold — no edge
AI Game Analysis
Powered by Claude (Opus 4.8)
Generate a natural-language read on where the value is, a suggested unit size, and the risks worth watching.
Line movement
Captured automatically every few hours. The last row before game time is the closing line — used to grade the model.
Open spread
+5.5
Current spread
+5.5
Move
stable
| Captured | Spread | Total | Home ML | Score | Recommended |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 12:03 PM(open) | +5.5 | 181.5 | +180 | 51 | — |
| Jul 4, 12:33 PM | +5.5 | 181.5 | +180 | 51 | — |
| Jul 4, 12:46 PM | +5.5 | 181.5 | +178 | 53 | — |
| Jul 4, 1:00 PM | +5.5 | 181.5 | +178 | 53 | — |
| Jul 4, 1:21 PM | +5.5 | 181.5 | +178 | 53 | — |
| Jul 4, 2:01 PM | +5.5 | 181.5 | +178 | 53 | — |
| Jul 4, 3:00 PM | +5.5 | 181.5 | +178 | 53 | — |
| Jul 4, 3:01 PM | +5.5 | 181.5 | +178 | 53 | — |
| Jul 4, 4:01 PM | +5.5 | 181.5 | +178 | 53 | — |
| Jul 4, 5:00 PM | +5.5 | 181.5 | +178 | 53 | — |
| Jul 4, 6:01 PM(latest) | +5.5 | 182.5 | +178 | 53 | No bet |
Line shopping
Every book on the board — grab the best number.
| Book | Dallas Wings ML | Toronto Tempo ML | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | -214 | +174 | +5.5 (-110) | 181.8 |
| FanDuel | -215 | +172 | +5.5 (-114) | 182.5 |
| Fanatics | -205 | +170 | +5.5 (-110) | 181.5 |
| BetRivers | -240 | +188 | +5.5 (-109) | 182.5 |
| DraftKings | -205 | +170 | +5.5 (-110) | 181.5 |
| Caesars | -205 | +170 | +5.5 (-110) | 181.5 |
| BetOnline.ag | — | — | +5.5 (-110) | 181.5 |
| LowVig.ag | — | — | +5.5 (-108) | 181.5 |
| Bovada | — | — | +5.5 (-110) | 181.5 |